What to Worry About in 2016

Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Speakers
Michael Moran

Managing Director of Global Risk Analysis, Control Risks

Paul B. Stares

General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations

Robert Kahn

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider
Carla Anne Robbins

Adjunct Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations

Center for Preventive Action and Conflict Risk Assessment and Monitoring

With war and humanitarian crises embroiling the Middle East and parts of Africa, the new year presents challenges for conflict prevention, mitigation, and response. Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications. In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluated the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2016. The speakers discussed their respective organizations’ assessment of risks and potential crises for the new year.

Explore More on Conflict Prevention

United Kingdom

Moving Past the Troubles: The Future of Northern Ireland Peace
The Good Friday Agreement has dampened sectarian conflict and brought stability to Northern Ireland, but the peace deal has been challenged by Brexit-related border tensions that have thrown the region’s hard-won gains into doubt.

Backgrounder by Charles Landow and James McBride February 16, 2024

Nigeria

Nigeria Security Tracker
The Council on Foreign Relations' Nigeria Security Tracker was an effort to catalog and map political violence based on a weekly survey of Nigerian and international press. The last update to the tracker was July 1, 2023. The data presented included violent incidents related to political, economic, and social grievances directed at the state or other affiliated groups (or, conversely, the state employing violence to respond to those incidents.)

Tracker by Michelle Gavin July 1, 2023 Africa Program

Conflict Prevention

In Africa, Major Power Rivalry Is Not the Whole Story

Blog Post by Michelle Gavin May 24, 2021 Strength Through Peace

Top Stories on CFR

 

China Strategy Initiative Link

via Council on Foreign Relations June 24, 2024

Sudan

What Is the Extent of Sudan’s Humanitarian Crisis?
More than a year into the civil war in Sudan, over nine million people have been displaced, exacerbating an already devastating humanitarian crisis.

In Brief by Mariel Ferragamo and Diana Roy June 26, 2024

Iran

Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?
The contest to replace Ebrahim Raisi, killed in a helicopter crash last month, is dominated by conservatives who have provided few signals of any major course change in the country’s regional and security policies.

Expert Brief by Ray Takeyh June 25, 2024